DATA & METHOD

Every number has a source.
Or it doesn't exist.

This page is the standing answer to “how did you get these values?” — and every individual analysis ships with its own methodology page applying the same discipline to its own numbers.

/01The five evidence tiers

Weighted by where it comes from, not how loud it is.

TierWeightSource classExamples
T1×1.00First-party & regulatoryBrand CRM/sales data, regulatory databases
T2×0.80Trade press & analystsIndustry publications, analyst reports
T3×0.60Established editorialMajor consumer media
T4×0.40Blogs & influencersCreator content, mid-size influencers
T5×0.20User-generated contentForums, reviews, social posts
INITIAL AUTHORITY WEIGHTS · RECALIBRATED AGAINST OUTCOMES AS FIRST-PARTY DATA ACCUMULATES
/02The rules the pipeline enforces

Discipline, encoded.

R01

Anti-hallucination gate

An extracted market figure must literally cite one of the supplied source URLs — otherwise it is stored as null, never estimated.

R02

Evidence per claim

Presence claims carry source URLs, retrieval dates and a confidence value. Claims without evidence are flagged before release.

R03

Advertiser verification

Ad presence is proven by the verified advertiser account or page — not by a search hit that merely mentions the brand.

R04

Category guards

Titles and URLs are checked against category vocabulary, so same-name products from other verticals never prove presence.

R05

Market availability

Channels that don't operate in a market are reported as not applicable — never as “not found”.

R06

Human-reviewed inputs, automated release gate

Every market figure is reviewed by a person before an analysis may use it. Every analysis then passes an automated quality gate that blocks release on missing evidence, unverified metrics or unreviewed market data — technically enforced, not policy. Anything that spends money always passes a human gate.

/03Per-analysis methodology

Ask any number where it came from.

Every released analysis carries a sources-and-methodology page that explains, block by block, which sources and formulas produced its values — including the formula for the gap and every assumption inside it.

METHOD OVER OPINION

Decide with evidence.